Advertisements
Fantasy MLB

2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers: Tyler Beede

This season features several interesting arms that should be available late in most fantasy drafts. Today we go over one of those arms, as we take a look at Giants RHP Tyler Beede.

Tyler Beede’s 2019

A first round pick by the Giants in 2014, the righty made his MLB debut with San Francisco in April of 2018. Beede made two spot starts in 2018, but that season as a whole was a brutal one for the Vanderbilt product. Beede, across those two starts with the Giants, recorded an 8.22 ERA over 7.2 innings, striking out nine batters while walking eight. Outside of those two appearances with the Giants, Beede spent most of that season in Sacramento (AAA), and struggled mightily with his control. Over 33 appearances (10 starts-74.0 IP) with the Rivercats, the righty walked 56 batters (6.8 BB/9) and posted an ERA of 7.05.

It was certainly a challenging season in 2018 for Beede, and the first half of 2019 didn’t go much better for the 26-year old. The righty did perform well in his third go-around in AAA (2.34 ERA, 0.67 WHIP, 49 K over 34.2 IP), but struggled in the Majors. Over 10 appearances (eight starts), Beede went 2-3 with a 5.64 ERA, and once again struggled with limiting walks. The Massachusetts native walked 28 over 44.2 IP (5.7 BB/9) in the first half, and his 1.66 WHIP was certainly less than impressive.

Once the second half rolled around, Beede did show some improvement in San Francisco. Although Beede posted a 3-7 record after the All-Star Break, Beede’s second half ERA was at 4.73. The righty’s WHIP was also better in the second half (1.37), and Beede’s control improved over the second half as well. Beede walked 18 over 72.1 IP (2.2 BB/9), while striking out 70 batters over that period.

Analytics on Beede

Beede was one of the more effective starters during the second half in 2019 when it came to missing bats. From July 11 (first day of the second half) until September 29, Beede was in the top 30 among pitchers in Whiff% with the change (37.6%). The pitch was a great weapon for Beede against right-handed hitters, as those batters only hit .162 off the pitch throughout the season.

 

A look at Beede’s changeups in 2019 (post All-Star Break). As mentioned above, it was a tough pitch against RHH, and Beede did get hitters missing on the pitch a bit.

 

Beede’s curveball last season also proved to be a valuable weapon for the 26-year old. Among qualified pitchers (min. 50 swings by opposing batters) during the second half, Beede’s Whiff% rate of 52.9% was the second highest percentage in the Majors during that time. Only Rays right-handed pitcher Nick Anderson had a higher Whiff% rate during the second half of 2019. While Beede’s curve isn’t a pitch with a high spin, it does have a good amount of downward movement, and the pitch was a reliable weapon for the righty throughout last season. Batters only hit .200 off the pitch over the 2019 season.

One last note on the advanced analytics: while Beede did yield a lot of hard hit balls last season (mean exit velocity of 90.8 MPH throughout 2019), the second half of last season was much better for the righty in that category as well. The mean exit velocity last season in the second half was 87.1 MPH, an positive indication that Beede made fewer mistakes as the season went on.

What to Expect from Beede in 2020

After almost two seasons of trying to crack the Giants roster full-time, Beede succeeding in doing so last season. Now for the first time in his career, Beede will enter a regular season in the Majors as a starter. However, Beede is still a very tough projection, as it’s hard to tell which Beede the Giants will get.

While it looks like Beede has found some consistency now that he’s ditched his sinker and cutter, I’d like to see a larger sample size before feeling fully comfortable about the right-hander. Second, the Giants are currently going through a rebuild. Even though the Giants still have a good chunk of their core players from the dynasty era (Buster Posey, Brandon Belt, Brandon Crawford, etc.) this team is nowhere near as talented as San Francisco was at the start of the last decade. Beede only won five games last season, as it’s hard to imagine him picking up more than 10 wins thanks to Giants’ state right now.

Still, there’s a lot of potential with Beede. The talent has always been there with the former first round pick, and he seemed to begin putting it together late last season. If you need a pitcher who can rack up strikeouts late, he might be worth a look. However, be mindful that he may not win many games, and take his past control issues into consideration.


Be sure to keep checking out the FH Freeway site for more news, player reports, and fantasy tips. And make sure to follow us on Twitter, as well as subscribe to our growing YouTube channel, where we’ll post player videos of up-and-coming prospects you should keep an eye on. And if you like what you see on our site, consider becoming a Patreon supporter.

 

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

%d bloggers like this: